AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
ILF
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RED
2 - 2
YEL
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
YEL
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
YEL
2 - 2
NEE
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 3
YEL
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
ENF
3 - 4
TIL
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 0
BRE
20%
23%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ENF
2 - 0
TIL
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
POT
1 - 0
TIL
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TIL
0 - 2
WAR
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |