AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
YEL
0 - 2
EAS
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
YEL
3 - 0
RED
73%
16%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 3
YEL
56%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 2
YEL
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
TIL
0 - 2
RED
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 2
TIL
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 3
TIL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 2
YEL
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
TIL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |