AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
YEL
1 - 1
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ARL
0 - 2
YEL
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WIV
1 - 1
YEL
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 1
YEL
20%
25%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 2
NOR
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
ILF
1 - 2
TIL
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
POT
4 - 3
TIL
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 5
WAR
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |