AFC Sudbury vs Stourport Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 0
YEL
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
YEL
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 3
YEL
22%
23%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 2
ROT
78%
16%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
YEL
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Stourport Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BED
1 - 1
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STO
2 - 1
MAR
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STO
0 - 2
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
STO
0 - 2
BED
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
LEI
1 - 3
STO
69%
20%
12%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |