AFC Sudbury vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 2
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
0 - 2
HAV
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 3
MAC
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -3 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 0
MET
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ENF
1 - 0
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HEN
2 - 1
MER
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
LEA
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
BUR
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
KIN
2 - 1
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |