AFC Sudbury vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
YEL
2 - 2
ROM
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 3
YEL
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HEY
1 - 2
YEL
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
POT
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
WAL
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RED
1 - 1
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
TIL
33%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 3
YEL
24%
23%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SOH
0 - 1
MAL
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 1
CAR
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |