AFC Sudbury vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 0
MET
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ENF
1 - 0
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
LOW
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 1
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 1
YEL
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
DOV
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 2
TRA
35%
29%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
ALT
66%
22%
13%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |