AFC Sudbury vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 2
YEL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
YEL
4 - 0
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 1
STA
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
YEL
4 - 0
BOW
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 0
YEL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 3
HEN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
LEI
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LEI
5 - 0
HEN
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
LEI
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |