AFC Sudbury vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DER
1 - 1
YEL
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 2
CAM
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
YEL
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
HEY
0 - 1
YEL
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
YEL
3 - 3
WHI
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
HIS
1 - 0
CAM
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HIS
3 - 0
BUR
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 3
HIS
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
HIS
0 - 1
GRA
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MAL
1 - 1
HIS
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |