AFC Sudbury vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
YEL
3 - 2
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
YEL
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
YEL
5 - 0
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
YEL
3 - 0
CTF
87%
10%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 3
YEL
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LOW
0 - 2
HEY
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FEL
0 - 1
HEY
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HEY
4 - 4
LOW
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HEY
2 - 0
GRE
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STO
1 - 2
HEY
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |