AFC Sudbury vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
YEL
1 - 1
TIL
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NEE
1 - 3
YEL
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 4
WRO
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ROM
5 - 2
YEL
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
YEL
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HEY
1 - 1
WRO
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
HEY
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 5
HEY
24%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
HEY
2 - 1
POT
72%
16%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
HEY
33%
24%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |