AFC Sudbury vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
YEL
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 1
YEL
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 4
HEY
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
YEL
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
4 - 1
BRE
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 3
GRA
12%
19%
70%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
ENF
2 - 2
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 3
ENF
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -4 |