AFC Sudbury vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
YEL
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
DER
0 - 1
YEL
44%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
YEL
5 - 2
ROM
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SOH
1 - 1
YEL
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
YEL
5 - 0
RED
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 1
HAR
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
TIL
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HOR
2 - 1
CRA
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
CRA
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
4 - 1
TIL
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |