AFC Sudbury vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
YEL
3 - 0
WAL
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 2
YEL
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RED
0 - 2
YEL
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 1
BOG
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 2
YEL
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 2
CRA
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TIL
2 - 0
CRA
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 0
FAV
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 2
CRA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
CRA
3 - 3
AVE
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |