AFC Sudbury vs Chipstead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
YEL
3 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 2
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 4
YEL
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
MIL
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
YEL
0 - 2
MIL
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 0
CHI
70%
16%
13%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 0
LIT
19%
18%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 2
CHI
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
WHY
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |