AFC Sudbury vs Cambridge City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BED
3 - 1
YEL
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
YEL
2 - 2
AFC
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
YEL
3 - 0
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 2
YEL
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 3
YEL
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CAM
70%
18%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
KIN
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAM
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LYE
2 - 1
CAM
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |