AFC Sudbury vs Burnham Ramblers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
YEL
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
YEL
0 - 2
DER
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 6
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
HEY
2 - 3
YEL
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 3
FCR
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Burnham Ramblers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
BUR
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 2
BRE
22%
21%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 4
HEY
16%
19%
66%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 1
BUR
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHA
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |