AFC Sudbury vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 0
YEL
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 1
YEL
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
YEL
5 - 1
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KIN
3 - 0
YEL
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 2
LEA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BOW
0 - 1
AVE
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 2
BOW
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TIL
1 - 1
BOW
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BOW
0 - 1
MAL
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
THU
1 - 2
BOW
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |