AFC Sudbury vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
5 - 0
YEL
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
6 - 0
HAL
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
LOW
2 - 2
YEL
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 0
ENF
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BIL
2 - 1
BOG
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BIL
4 - 2
LEA
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIL
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
TON
1 - 0
BIL
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BIL
0 - 2
BOG
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |