AFC Sudbury vs Basildon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 1
YEL
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
YEL
3 - 2
WHI
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 3
YEL
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 2
HUL
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
YEL
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
HTG
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TIL
2 - 5
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
HEY
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 1
BAS
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 3
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |