FA Trophy 1/512
Global 5-4
AFC Sudbury vs Barton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
YEL
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
4 - 2
HEY
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
YEL
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
YEL
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
0 - 2
MAL
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
YEL
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
AYL
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
EGH
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAR
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAR
40%
24%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |