AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
YEL
1 - 2
BRI
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
YEL
1 - 1
HEY
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
YEL
5 - 2
WHI
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
SOH
0 - 1
YEL
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
YEL
2 - 2
BRE
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 4
LEW
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 5
DAG
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 2
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 1
RED
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 3
CHE
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |