AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 0
YEL
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
YEL
3 - 0
BUR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
YEL
1 - 0
BRE
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SOH
1 - 0
YEL
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
YEL
0 - 2
TIL
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
3 - 1
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HIS
1 - 1
AVE
13%
18%
69%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
4 - 2
WHI
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
4 - 3
FEL
88%
8%
4%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
3 - 1
BUR
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |