AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 3
YEL
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 1
MIL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
YEL
8 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SOH
0 - 2
YEL
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 0
YEL
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 2
GRE
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TIL
3 - 0
AVE
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -3 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
CTF
47%
21%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 2
AVE
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
5 - 3
BRE
59%
20%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |