AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
YEL
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
YEL
1 - 0
PHO
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
YEL
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 3
YEL
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WRO
1 - 2
YEL
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 2
DER
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
AVE
71%
16%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 4
BRI
38%
22%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 1
CHE
35%
23%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 5
AVE
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |