AFC Sudbury vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
YEL
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 3
ROM
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 1
YEL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
YEL
0 - 2
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 1
HAR
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
AVE
64%
19%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 2
HEY
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 3
DER
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |