AFC Porth vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
3 - 0
PON
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TAT
0 - 1
AFC
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
TAF
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
CWM
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
AFC
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
2 - 1
TAT
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 4
TAF
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 5
TAF
20%
20%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
TAF
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
TAF
0 - 1
CWM
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |