AFC Porth vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
AFC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CWM
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 3
AFC
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
BRY
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WES
1 - 1
BRY
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRY
0 - 0
ABE
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 2
CAR
31%
24%
46%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
BRY
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |