AFC Porth vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 0
HAV
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TAF
1 - 1
AFC
38%
23%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
TON
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CWM
1 - 2
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
AFC
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BRY
0 - 3
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TON
0 - 1
BRY
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRY
16%
20%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BRY
3 - 2
GOY
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WES
3 - 5
BRY
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |