AFC Portchester vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Portchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 1
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAV
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 5
AFC
7%
13%
80%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
AFC
33%
21%
46%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
SHA
65%
18%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 0
BOU
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
PAG
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
PAG
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BEM
6 - 0
PAG
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |