AFC Mansfield vs Hemsworth MW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
MAN
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 2
BAR
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 1
MAN
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 5
THA
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 4
MAN
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ECC
4 - 1
HEM
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
GBO
3 - 0
HEM
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HEM
4 - 2
STA
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GAR
3 - 1
HEM
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
HEM
3 - 0
WIN
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +4 |