AFC Leopards vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
THI
1 - 4
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
THI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
SOF
0 - 3
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 0
AFC
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
ULI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 0
TUS
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 2
NAI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 0
MAT
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 2
KCB
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 0
AFC
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |