Humpolec vs Start Brno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
11º
14º
12º
63
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humpolec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BYS
2 - 0
HUM
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HUM
0 - 4
VJI
20%
20%
61%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 0
HUM
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TSL
2 - 0
HUM
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HUM
2 - 0
HAV
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Start Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TJS
3 - 1
TSL
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
TJS
24%
21%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
TJS
0 - 3
ZLI
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TJS
2 - 1
BEC
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TBB
0 - 2
TJS
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |