Humpolec vs Břeclav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
11º
14º
12º
39
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humpolec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TBB
4 - 0
HUM
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HUM
0 - 2
SOK
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUM
4 - 4
DIR
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 0
HUM
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HUM
0 - 2
ARN
12%
17%
71%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Břeclav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEC
0 - 0
TSL
22%
23%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 1
BEC
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
BEC
1 - 3
BZE
42%
24%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
5 - 1
BEC
85%
11%
4%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEC
1 - 0
STA
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |