FA Cup Previa 1
Global 3-4
AFC Hayes vs Wembley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AFH
1 - 2
LYD
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
4 - 0
AFH
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
AFH
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
AFH
6 - 1
ABI
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ABI
0 - 0
AFH
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wembley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
WEM
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASH
3 - 0
WEM
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 4
WEM
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
WEM
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WEM
1 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |