AFC Hayes vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 3
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 1
AFH
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 0
RUG
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
AFH
4 - 1
EGH
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
AFH
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
WAN
1 - 2
FLA
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 3
WAN
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 0
BIN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ENF
5 - 0
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 3
ENF
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |