AFC Hayes vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
THA
1 - 1
AFH
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AYL
6 - 2
AFH
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AFH
3 - 1
ASH
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AFH
6 - 0
BEA
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
AFH
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
GOD
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
ASH
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DAV
2 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |