AFC Hayes vs Burnham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
RUG
1 - 4
AFH
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POT
1 - 0
AFH
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
AFH
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AFH
2 - 1
CHE
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
AFH
2 - 1
FLE
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burnham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 2
NOR
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 3
STN
31%
24%
44%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
BUR
0 - 1
FLE
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
0 - 0
BUR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AYL
3 - 4
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |