AFC Hayes vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
AFH
0 - 1
BET
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DAV
0 - 2
AFH
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 3
AFH
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AFH
1 - 2
ASH
52%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AFH
0 - 3
STN
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
AYL
0 - 3
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AYL
1 - 1
CHE
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
LEI
0 - 1
AYL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BED
3 - 1
AYL
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
AYL
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |