AFC Hayes vs Abingdon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ABI
0 - 0
AFH
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 3
BED
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BED
1 - 1
AFH
11%
17%
71%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AFH
3 - 2
FLA
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AFH
1 - 3
LEI
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Abingdon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ABI
0 - 0
AFH
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ABI
1 - 0
LON
69%
18%
12%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ABI
0 - 3
BRI
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ABI
0 - 2
DOR
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 0
MIL
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |