FA Cup Previa 3
Global 5-2
AFC Emley vs Widnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
AFC
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 5
AFC
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
AFC
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
HAL
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ECC
0 - 2
AFC
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Widnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WID
1 - 1
AFC
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
WID
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WID
5 - 1
HED
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 0
WID
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WID
2 - 1
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |