AFC Emley vs Hemsworth MW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
ECC
70%
16%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 3
AFC
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 2
HAN
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
BOT
84%
10%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GAR
0 - 2
AFC
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
HEM
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HEM
1 - 0
HAN
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
THA
2 - 1
HEM
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HEM
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HEM
2 - 4
NOR
25%
20%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |