AFC Emley vs Athersley Recreation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
4 - 2
FRI
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
3 - 1
AFC
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
7 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OSS
3 - 0
AFC
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Athersley Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALS
1 - 0
ATH
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |