Amsterdam FC DWS vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 1
DWS
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
DWS
2 - 2
VOL
52%
27%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 0
AZA
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ADO
4 - 0
DWS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
DWS
1 - 0
MVV
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1971 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1971 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 4
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |