AFC Dunstable vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
AFD
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFD
1 - 2
EGH
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PET
0 - 7
AFD
6%
13%
80%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AFD
1 - 2
ARL
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AFD
1 - 0
HAN
74%
15%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
AYL
2 - 2
ASH
48%
22%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 2
AYL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AYL
0 - 0
POT
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HIS
1 - 1
AYL
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
AYL
11%
17%
72%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |