AFC Dunstable vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 0
AFD
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 1
AFD
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AFD
3 - 0
THA
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AFD
1 - 1
KID
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
AFD
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
4 - 2
AYL
29%
22%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AYL
3 - 0
DUN
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AYL
1 - 1
CAM
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BER
3 - 0
AYL
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
AYL
3 - 4
COL
27%
21%
53%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |