AFC Bournemouth vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
BOU
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 0
WIG
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
BOU
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
REA
0 - 3
DER
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
3 - 1
REA
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LEE
0 - 0
REA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REA
3 - 3
WOL
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
REA
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |