AFC Bournemouth vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
STO
0 - 1
BOU
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 1
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
LUT
0 - 0
BOU
22%
23%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 0
WYC
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BOU
5 - 0
HUR
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
GRI
0 - 0
OLD
22%
25%
54%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OLD
1 - 2
TOW
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 4
OLD
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 3
WAL
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
OLD
3 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |