AFC Bournemouth vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
STF
1 - 0
BOU
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
BOU
3 - 0
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 1
MAC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DAG
1 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 1
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
BCF
0 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 0
MOR
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
DAR
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |