AFC Bournemouth vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 3
SOU
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 0
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 3
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
PNE
1 - 1
BOU
19%
24%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 2
BOU
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
MID
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MID
2 - 0
PNE
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MID
3 - 0
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SWA
2 - 1
MID
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
COV
1 - 2
MID
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |